PEMODELAN TRIP DISTRIBUTION PENUMPANG DOMESTIK TRANSPORTASI UDARA DI PROVINSI MALUKU DENGAN MODEL GRAVITY

MAULANA ROFIQ KELIOBAS, CHUSNUL (2019) PEMODELAN TRIP DISTRIBUTION PENUMPANG DOMESTIK TRANSPORTASI UDARA DI PROVINSI MALUKU DENGAN MODEL GRAVITY. Skripsi thesis, Institut Teknologi Dirgantara Adisutjipto.

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Abstract

Maluku Province is an archipelago with a large part of the territory dominated by the sea, this causes limited passenger travel between regions. Along with economic and population growth has resulted in increased demand for air transportation as the most effective means of transportation. To anticipate the increase in demand, an analysis is needed to find out how much the trip distribution is produced, and how the predictions for trip distribution in the future will be, so that the facilities and infrastructure can be prepared. The data used in this study are secondary data, such as domesitic passenger movement data and accessibility information in the form of ticket prices for each flight route. Passenger movement data are analyzed by the Least Squere Error trend method to obtain future trip generation. This trip generation results are then processed using Unconstrained Gravity Model (UCGR) and Double Constraints Gravity Model and calculation of matrix suitability using the Root Mean Squere Error (RMSE) method. From the results of this study it was concluded that the DCGR model with the accessibility function using squere method is the best model because it has the smallest RMSE test results, with RMSE = 3.971.71292 and% RMSE = 39.25509%. From the calculation of the trend and the distribution of movement using the DCGR model with the accessibility function using squere method, it was found that the total movement of domestic airplane passengers in Maluku Province in 2022 was 286,285 people.

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