ANALISIS PRAKIRAAN BEBAN LISTRIK WILAYAH YOGYAKARTA DENGAN JARINGAN SYARAF TIRUAN

ANGGIT SAPUTRA, BIMO (2020) ANALISIS PRAKIRAAN BEBAN LISTRIK WILAYAH YOGYAKARTA DENGAN JARINGAN SYARAF TIRUAN. Skripsi thesis, Institut Teknologi Dirgantara Adisutjipto.

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Abstract

Electric power should be provided in amount or magnitude to meet the requirement and also in the right time. Excess of the requirement electric power may cause loss. On the contrary, lacking electric power supply, will cause blacking out. Thus, to provide adequate electric power that meet the requirement, there should be an electric power’s plan performed by making a prediction or electric load forecasting. Therefore, matter of electric load forecasting become much important in efficient electric power supply. To predict electric load needs, PLN currently using load coefficient method. Such computing method is based on empirical experience of electric power’s planning division which relatively harder to complete especially in several correction needed for change of load. Therefore, a better method is still needed than load coefficient method. In this research, the author attempted to build a prediction model for shortterm electric load by using artificial neural network (ANN) with backpropagation learning algorithm and sigmoid activation function. Research data collection scope was limited by electric load in work region of Yogyakarta. The result showed that the prediction of ANN electric load on January 1, 2018 to December 31, 2020 shows that the average load of 277 A increases by 334A per day and the average percentage of ANN error is 19.6%.

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